Nancy vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASN
48%
27%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ASN
2 - 0
NAN
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 2
ASN
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ASN
2 - 0
VAL
49%
27%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GIR
1 - 0
ASN
63%
23%
15%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 1
LIL
31%
30%
39%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TFC
1 - 1
LOR
50%
27%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 2
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 0
LOR
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 3
LOR
38%
29%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |