Nancy vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ASN
0 - 3
LYO
21%
25%
54%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
NAN
2 - 1
ASN
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
ASN
1 - 1
LMU
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
LEN
2 - 2
ASN
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
ASN
0 - 1
SHA
38%
27%
34%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 1
MAR
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 0
LOR
42%
29%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 0
LIL
28%
29%
43%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 0
NIC
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
TRO
3 - 0
LOR
52%
26%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |