Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
51%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
DRO
1 - 5
ASN
7%
15%
78%
|
78 | 37 | 41 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 2
ASN
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 1
GIR
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
LYO
1 - 1
ASN
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 1
VAL
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
LIL
3 - 2
NÎM
83%
13%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LIL
4 - 1
MPL
61%
22%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
REI
1 - 1
LIL
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 0
TFC
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
SOC
1 - 1
LIL
25%
26%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |