Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
PSG
0 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ASN
1 - 0
GIR
41%
28%
31%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
ASN
1 - 0
AMI
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
MET
0 - 0
ASN
35%
29%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ASN
1 - 1
SOC
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
52%
27%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
AUX
0 - 1
LIL
50%
26%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
LIL
0 - 3
STR
54%
26%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 0
LIL
34%
28%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LIL
3 - 0
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |