Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
42.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
LMU
0 - 0
ASN
47%
27%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
ASN
0 - 0
NAN
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASN
47%
28%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 1
PSG
32%
30%
38%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
MET
0 - 0
ASN
44%
28%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 1
AUX
47%
28%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
STR
2 - 2
LIL
37%
29%
34%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 2
LIL
3%
19%
78%
|
88 | 46 | 42 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
LIL
0 - 0
MAR
50%
27%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
SEV
2 - 0
LIL
50%
28%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |