Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
ASN
3 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1985 |
TFC
1 - 0
ASN
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
ASN
1 - 1
MON
39%
27%
33%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1985 |
SOC
1 - 0
ASN
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1985 |
STL
2 - 2
ASN
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
LIL
0 - 0
TFC
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1985 |
MON
6 - 1
LIL
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1985 |
LIL
0 - 0
STL
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1985 |
STR
2 - 1
LIL
51%
27%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1985 |
LIL
2 - 1
RAC
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |