Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
ASN
1 - 4
REI
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1955 |
MON
2 - 2
ASN
54%
21%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
ASN
4 - 2
SED
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
TRO
4 - 4
ASN
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1955 |
ASN
2 - 3
RAC
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
LIL
4 - 0
TRO
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1955 |
LEN
1 - 0
LIL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
LYO
2 - 1
LIL
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
LIL
0 - 2
ASS
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1955 |
LIL
4 - 1
MET
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |