Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
MET
4 - 2
ASN
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1951 |
ASN
1 - 1
NIC
39%
25%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
MAR
3 - 2
ASN
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ASN
2 - 2
SÈT
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
LEN
4 - 0
ASN
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
LIL
3 - 3
MAR
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1951 |
NÎM
5 - 0
LIL
43%
23%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
LIL
2 - 1
RCR
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
LEN
0 - 2
LIL
33%
23%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
STR
0 - 2
LIL
32%
24%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |