Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
57%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
REN
4 - 0
ASN
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
ASN
2 - 2
SOC
44%
22%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1948 |
RAC
5 - 1
ASN
76%
13%
11%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
ASN
1 - 2
COL
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
ASN
1 - 2
RCR
39%
23%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
LIL
2 - 0
CAN
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
STR
0 - 6
LIL
49%
22%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1948 |
MET
3 - 1
LIL
34%
23%
42%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
LIL
1 - 1
TFC
83%
10%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
LIL
2 - 1
SFP
74%
14%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |