Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1947 |
RED
1 - 2
ASN
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1947 |
ASN
2 - 0
LEN
56%
20%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
FCR
0 - 0
ASN
47%
22%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1947 |
LHA
3 - 2
ASN
44%
22%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
ASN
1 - 0
STR
39%
23%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1947 |
LIL
2 - 0
REN
76%
13%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1947 |
RAC
1 - 0
LIL
51%
21%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
LIL
4 - 3
ASS
70%
15%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1947 |
LIL
5 - 3
MPL
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
MAR
1 - 1
LIL
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |