Nancy vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
BOU
2 - 0
ASN
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ASN
2 - 0
RED
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 1
ASN
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
ASN
3 - 2
PFC
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
AUX
2 - 2
ASN
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
CLE
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
STL
1 - 1
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
ETG
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 0
LEN
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
LEN
0 - 1
VAL
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |