Nancy vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
REN
2 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ASN
0 - 3
LYO
18%
22%
59%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ASN
0 - 0
SPO
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ASN
2 - 0
DIJ
47%
24%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
STR
2 - 0
ASN
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
GUI
59%
23%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
CAE
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
GUI
3 - 4
ANG
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
REN
1 - 2
GUI
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |