Nancy vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 0
ASN
44%
28%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 1
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
REN
1 - 1
ASN
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ASN
0 - 0
AUX
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 2
AUX
41%
28%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ETG
2 - 4
CAE
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
ETG
77%
16%
8%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ETG
2 - 2
PSG
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GIR
0 - 0
ETG
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 0
ETG
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |