Nancy vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
AUX
1 - 0
ASN
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
ASN
1 - 0
RED
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ASN
0 - 3
LEN
33%
27%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
PFC
2 - 0
ASN
41%
29%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
ASN
0 - 2
BEZ
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
NIO
1 - 1
ORL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
NIO
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
NIO
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
NIO
4 - 2
CLE
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
RED
1 - 2
NIO
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |