Nancy vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
ANG
2 - 0
ASN
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ASN
0 - 2
FCG
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
STL
2 - 0
ASN
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ASN
0 - 0
GRE
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
AMI
2 - 1
ASN
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2004 |
NIO
0 - 1
ASS
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 0
NIO
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NIO
1 - 3
FCG
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
NIO
2 - 1
TRO
37%
27%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LHA
1 - 1
NIO
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |