Nancy vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 0
ASN
30%
28%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ASN
2 - 2
GIR
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DIJ
0 - 2
ASN
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ASN
2 - 1
PSG
27%
27%
47%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 1
ASN
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 4
ASS
38%
28%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAE
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 0
GIR
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 0
AJA
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
DIJ
2 - 0
CAE
41%
25%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |