Nancy vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
NAN
0 - 2
ASN
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BFC
0 - 3
ASN
4%
11%
85%
|
75 | 31 | 44 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASN
56%
26%
18%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 1
ASN
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 1
ASN
56%
26%
18%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
PSG
7 - 0
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
MAR
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
REN
1 - 2
BAS
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
MET
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
MON
5 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |