Nancy vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
LEN
0 - 1
ASN
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
CSL
0 - 1
ASN
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
ASN
1 - 0
ASS
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
LHA
0 - 1
ASN
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
ASN
0 - 2
SED
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
BAS
0 - 0
MAR
38%
27%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
BAS
3 - 0
MAR
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
NAN
1 - 1
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 0
MON
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
STR
2 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |