Nancy vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
GIR
3 - 2
ASN
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
ASN
2 - 3
PSG
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1982 |
FCM
3 - 1
ASN
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
STR
2 - 0
ASN
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
ASN
2 - 2
NAN
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
BAS
4 - 0
LEN
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
MON
3 - 0
BAS
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 1
NAN
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
FCR
2 - 1
BAS
42%
27%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
BAS
4 - 1
TOU
55%
23%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |