Nancy vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
ASN
1 - 2
NIC
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
ANG
1 - 0
ASN
44%
25%
32%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1979 |
ASN
1 - 0
VAL
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1979 |
NÎM
4 - 2
ASN
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1979 |
ASN
3 - 4
STR
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
BAS
1 - 2
LEN
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
PSG
1 - 1
BAS
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
BAS
1 - 0
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1979 |
MON
1 - 0
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1979 |
BAS
2 - 1
STL
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |