Nancy vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
STR
1 - 5
ASN
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
ASN
4 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
NAN
3 - 0
ASN
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
ASN
6 - 0
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
LYO
1 - 0
ASN
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
BAS
0 - 1
NAN
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
TRO
0 - 2
BAS
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
BAS
1 - 1
VAL
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAS
65%
19%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
BAS
1 - 1
NÎM
50%
26%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |