Nancy vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1973 |
LYO
4 - 0
ASN
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1973 |
ASN
1 - 2
PFC
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1973 |
BAS
3 - 1
ASN
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1973 |
ASN
4 - 1
LYO
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
SED
1 - 0
ASN
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1973 |
BAS
0 - 0
STR
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1973 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1973 |
BAS
3 - 1
ASN
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1973 |
PFC
2 - 0
BAS
41%
25%
33%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
LYO
2 - 0
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |