Nancy vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
NIO
1 - 1
ASN
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
ASN
1 - 2
CLE
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 1
ASN
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ASN
0 - 1
GUI
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
ROD
1 - 1
ASN
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AJA
1 - 0
LOR
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 0
AJA
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 0
LMU
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
ORL
0 - 3
AJA
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 3
AUX
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |