Nancy vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
ASN
1 - 0
ORL
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
RED
1 - 1
ASN
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
ASN
2 - 3
BRE
23%
26%
50%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
CLE
2 - 3
ASN
56%
25%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
ASN
0 - 2
VAL
39%
26%
34%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 2
BRE
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
CLE
0 - 0
AJA
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
AJA
1 - 2
GRE
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
GAZ
1 - 0
AJA
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
AJA
1 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |