Nancy II vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NAN
4 - 1
LYO
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
FCM
2 - 2
NAN
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 1
NAN
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
NAN
3 - 0
IVR
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
NAN
1 - 1
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
SPI
1 - 0
SOC
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
FCM
0 - 0
SPI
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SPI
0 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SPI
5 - 0
MOA
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
IVR
0 - 2
SPI
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |