Nancy II vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FCM
1 - 0
NAN
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NAN
0 - 3
COL
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BRC
2 - 1
NAN
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
NOI
0 - 0
NAN
39%
28%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NAN
2 - 0
VES
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SPI
0 - 1
VIL
31%
28%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LIL
0 - 0
SPI
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SPI
0 - 0
RAO
39%
27%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
UJA
3 - 1
SPI
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SPI
2 - 1
DUN
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |