Nancy II vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SOC
2 - 2
NAN
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NAN
3 - 2
STR
44%
27%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
NAN
0 - 2
BRC
25%
28%
48%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
FCM
2 - 0
NAN
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
NAN
0 - 1
MET
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SPI
0 - 0
FCM
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MET
3 - 1
SPI
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SPI
2 - 2
VES
42%
27%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BEL
1 - 1
SPI
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SPI
2 - 0
RAO
22%
29%
49%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +2 |