Nancy II vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
SCH
2 - 2
NAN
38%
25%
36%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
NAN
2 - 0
MET
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
NAN
0 - 1
CAL
28%
29%
43%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
RCE
2 - 1
NAN
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
NAN
0 - 1
LIL
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
SPI
1 - 0
CAL
26%
31%
44%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
RCE
0 - 4
SPI
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
SPI
1 - 0
LEN
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
LIL
0 - 1
SPI
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
SPI
1 - 0
FCM
28%
27%
45%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |