Nancy II vs Montceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
NAN
0 - 4
RAO
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 4
NAN
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 2
JUR
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 3
NAN
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
PSG
3 - 2
NAN
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
GRE
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
MOU
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MON
2 - 3
RAO
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
TRO
15%
22%
64%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PSG
2 - 1
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |