Nancy II vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
NAN
19%
23%
59%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
STR
2 - 2
NAN
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 1
RCE
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NAN
3 - 3
RAO
43%
24%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
NAN
30%
22%
48%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ILL
2 - 3
SCH
73%
16%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
REI
1 - 1
ILL
65%
19%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 0
ILL
32%
22%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ILL
3 - 4
SAR
61%
20%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ILL
0 - 2
FOR
73%
17%
11%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |