Nancy II vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AMN
0 - 2
NAN
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NAN
3 - 1
BIE
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 2
NAN
16%
21%
62%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
NAN
2 - 2
BSU
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
THA
1 - 2
NAN
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ILL
0 - 3
FCS
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
RCE
2 - 0
ILL
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ILL
0 - 0
COL
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ILL
2 - 0
PON
24%
25%
52%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +4 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BSU
2 - 3
ILL
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |