Nancy II vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
NAN
12%
18%
70%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
NAN
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NAN
2 - 0
SAR
67%
19%
15%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SAI
1 - 3
NAN
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 2
NAN
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MET
11 - 1
ILL
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ILL
2 - 1
MOR
81%
13%
7%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 1
ILL
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ILL
1 - 1
SAI
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ILL
0 - 2
SCH
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |