Nancy II vs Champigneulles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
8º
8º
16
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 0
RAO
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 2
NAN
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 3
SAR
36%
23%
42%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RCE
0 - 1
NAN
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 0
JAR
79%
13%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Champigneulles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
TRO
25%
21%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 3
REI
30%
23%
48%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 1
CHA
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
RCE
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
JAR
0 - 0
CHA
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |