Nancy II vs Vauban Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MEZ
3 - 0
NAN
13%
17%
70%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
NAN
2 - 2
SCH
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NAN
4 - 1
FCS
53%
24%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
RAO
3 - 1
NAN
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
NAN
2 - 3
FOR
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Vauban Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VAU
0 - 0
PAG
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ILL
0 - 2
VAU
54%
21%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ILL
4 - 3
VAU
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
VAU
0 - 1
JAR
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
STR
3 - 0
VAU
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |