Nanclares vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nanclares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
AUR
2 - 1
NAN
74%
18%
9%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
NAN
6 - 1
ADC
44%
24%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ZAR
0 - 0
NAN
70%
18%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
NAN
1 - 3
ELP
28%
24%
48%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ARI
5 - 0
LAN
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
IZA
2 - 2
ARI
15%
21%
63%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ARI
3 - 0
BAS
82%
12%
5%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
IRU
0 - 3
ARI
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +3 |