Namibia vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
KEN
1 - 0
NAM
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
MWI
0 - 1
NAM
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2008 |
LSO
1 - 1
NAM
36%
25%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
COM
0 - 3
NAM
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
GUI
4 - 0
NAM
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
OMA
3 - 2
ZIM
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ZIM
0 - 0
GUI
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
ZIM
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
ZAM
5 - 4
ZIM
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
ZIM
0 - 0
KEN
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |