Namibia vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NAM
0 - 1
GHA
15%
24%
62%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
NAM
0 - 0
MOZ
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
KEN
1 - 0
NAM
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
NAM
0 - 1
MOZ
45%
25%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 1
NAM
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GAM
2 - 0
TAN
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
TAN
2 - 4
CIV
11%
21%
68%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAN
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TAN
3 - 1
MAR
18%
27%
54%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
TAN
1 - 0
KEN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |