Namibia vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
NAM
1 - 1
BOT
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
LSO
1 - 2
NAM
34%
24%
41%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ANG
2 - 1
NAM
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NAM
0 - 0
BOT
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
NAM
1 - 1
RWA
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2006 |
SYC
2 - 1
TAN
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2006 |
SYC
2 - 1
MUS
28%
23%
49%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
SYC
0 - 3
RSA
10%
20%
71%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SYC
82%
14%
5%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
SYC
0 - 4
ZAM
9%
17%
74%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |