Namibia vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
51.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
NAM
0 - 1
TAN
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
GUI
3 - 0
NAM
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
NAM
1 - 2
MLI
23%
26%
52%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
MLI
1 - 0
NAM
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
RSA
1 - 1
NAM
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
1 - 1
GUI
49%
24%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TAN
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
CMR
0 - 2
ZAM
56%
26%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
0 - 2
UGA
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
3 - 3
NIG
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |