Namibia vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
UGA
0 - 1
NAM
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CIV
0 - 1
NAM
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
NAM
3 - 1
ZIM
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NAM
2 - 0
COM
74%
18%
8%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
COM
2 - 1
NAM
8%
16%
77%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
CIV
0 - 2
ZAM
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ZAM
3 - 1
UGA
51%
26%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 2
CMR
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
NGA
1 - 0
ZAM
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
ALG
0 - 1
ZAM
57%
23%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |