Namibia vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MOZ
1 - 2
NAM
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAM
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
ZAM
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 4
RSA
20%
24%
55%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NAM
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MOZ
1 - 2
NAM
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MOZ
2 - 2
GNB
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
MOZ
2 - 1
SYC
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2018 |
MOZ
3 - 0
COM
72%
19%
10%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 1
MOZ
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |