Namibia vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NAM
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
ANG
0 - 0
NAM
66%
22%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
NAM
4 - 0
DJI
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
DJI
0 - 4
NAM
23%
22%
55%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
NAM
0 - 0
LSO
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MOZ
4 - 1
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 11 | 53 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
COM
0 - 1
MOZ
12%
18%
70%
|
64 | 11 | 53 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MOZ
3 - 0
COM
79%
16%
6%
|
64 | 11 | 53 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LBY
1 - 0
MOZ
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |