African Nations Championship Last 16
Global 3-2
Namibia vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
COM
2 - 1
NAM
8%
16%
77%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ZIM
1 - 0
NAM
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
NAM
1 - 0
ZIM
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 0
NAM
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
NAM
1 - 0
SWZ
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
COM
2 - 1
NAM
8%
16%
77%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
LSO
1 - 0
COM
67%
21%
13%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
COM
2 - 0
LSO
7%
15%
78%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | +11 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
MWI
1 - 0
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
24 | 60 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
TOG
2 - 0
COM
79%
16%
6%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | 0 |