Namibia vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CHA
2 - 0
NAM
22%
22%
57%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NAM
0 - 1
BOT
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
NAM
0 - 1
ALG
21%
27%
53%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SWZ
2 - 1
NAM
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAM
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CHA
2 - 0
NAM
22%
22%
57%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ALG
4 - 1
CHA
90%
8%
2%
|
38 | 81 | 43 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2002 |
UGA
2 - 0
CHA
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 72 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
ETH
2 - 3
CHA
86%
11%
3%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2002 |
SDN
2 - 0
CHA
80%
14%
7%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | -1 |