Namibia vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
56.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
RSA
4 - 0
NAM
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 1
NAM
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
GHA
0 - 0
NAM
66%
21%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
STP
0 - 2
NAM
11%
18%
72%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
EQG
1 - 0
NAM
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TUN
1 - 1
MLI
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 0
RSA
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MLI
6 - 2
GNB
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
MLI
1 - 1
CTA
88%
10%
3%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
MLI
3 - 1
CHA
84%
13%
4%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |