Namibia vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
NAM
77%
17%
6%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
RWA
2 - 2
NAM
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
NAM
0 - 0
LBR
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
NAM
1 - 0
KEN
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
NGA
1 - 0
NAM
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
3 - 1
MWI
71%
20%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MWI
0 - 1
GHA
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GHA
2 - 0
MWI
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
MWI
2 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MWI
1 - 1
NGA
21%
30%
49%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | +1 |