Namibia vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NAM
1 - 0
GAM
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
MWI
0 - 1
NAM
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
NAM
1 - 4
BFA
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BFA
4 - 0
NAM
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAM
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 1
SWZ
49%
24%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 0
SWZ
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
MUS
0 - 1
LSO
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
ZIM
2 - 2
LSO
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
MAS
5 - 0
LSO
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |