Namibia vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAM
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
MWI
1 - 2
NAM
53%
22%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
NAM
1 - 1
COD
26%
24%
51%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
NAM
1 - 0
LBY
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
NAM
1 - 2
ZAM
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
ANG
2 - 0
LSO
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
LSO
0 - 0
UGA
22%
23%
55%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
NIG
2 - 0
LSO
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2007 |
ZIM
1 - 1
LSO
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
LSO
3 - 1
NIG
33%
24%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |