Namibia vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
NAM
0 - 1
ALG
21%
27%
53%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SWZ
2 - 1
NAM
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAM
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
BOT
3 - 2
NAM
28%
25%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
MUS
1 - 0
NAM
31%
24%
46%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
BOT
0 - 1
LSO
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 0
ZAM
14%
22%
64%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
COD
2 - 0
BOT
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 0
SWZ
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 1
LSO
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |