Namibia U20 vs Zambia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 2
MLI
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
RSA
1 - 5
ZAM
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 2
NGA
9%
18%
74%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
URU
0 - 2
ZAM
90%
8%
2%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ESP
4%
14%
82%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | -1 |